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TikTok Shop seller profit forecast

TikTok Shop Profit Calculator

Start with five simple numbers. See profit, margin and a store forecast instantly. Add advanced assumptions only when you need more precision.

5free SKUs12forecast monthsPDFincluded
01 · Market model
TikTok Shop feeNeeds rate
Category commission: required
Start with the five numbers that actually decide profit.Optional costs stay hidden until you need them. Pro adds visual decisions, forecasts and knowledge base access without making the first calculation harder.
6 months · Forecast

01 · Products

Your products

Start with one SKU. Add more when you want a full-store forecast.

5 beginner inputs: price · product cost · creator commission · ad cost per sale · monthly orders
01Needs rate
PHP
What one customer pays for one item before any separate seller discount.
ExampleIf one item sells for 40, enter 40 — not the value of all monthly sales.
PHP
What it costs to buy or make one unit.
ExampleIf sourcing one unit costs 12, enter 12. Do not repeat costs entered elsewhere.
%
The share of an attributed sale paid to the creator.
ExampleAt a 40 commission base and 10%, the creator receives 4 per attributed sale.
PHP
Use ad spend and orders from the same period. This is an allocation, not proof of incremental acquisition cost.
Example600 in ad spend divided by 100 orders in the same period gives 6 per order.
Your expected monthly order volume — an assumption, not a guarantee.
ExampleEnter 100 for an estimate of 100 orders in one month.
%
Enter the exact TikTok Shop category commission % from Seller Center for this product. The forecast stays locked until every SKU has a rate.
Contribution / order Needs inputMargin — Needs inputBreak-even — Needs input

Forecast

Forecast assumptions

Default forecast is ready. Open this only if you want to change the month count or growth scenarios.

6 forecast months · editable
Decline
% · MoM
Stable
% · MoM
Growth
% · MoM

Example: 100 orders with 10% monthly growth become 110, then 121. This is a volume assumption, not guaranteed demand or a higher margin.

TikTok fees

Marketplace commission varies by category. Enter the exact rate; the model adds a 2.24% transaction fee, PHP 5 processing fee and 5.5% Marketplace shipping-service fee capped at PHP 100.

  • Category commission: required
  • Transaction fee: 2.24%
  • Processing fee: PHP 5
  • Shipping service: 5.5% (max PHP 100)
Seller Center is authoritative

Knowledge base

Visual forecast

Charts stay clean by default. Hover for exact monthly values; the table below keeps every number available for screenshots and PDF exports.

Complete the required inputs to view financial charts.Unknown values are kept separate from zero so the charts do not show a misleading forecast.

Philippines · Market pulse

Country-aware demand signals to help you decide what to investigate next. Market popularity is not the same as profit — your highest-margin SKU is calculated separately from your own numbers.

Direct market data · Q1 2026
💄
Demand leaderBeauty & Personal Care
27% of Top-10 GMV

Largest category in the available Q1 market snapshot.

👗
Second-largestWomenswear
17%

Second-largest category in the same Q1 market mix.

⚽
Momentum signalSports & Outdoor
Strong March rebound

The only major category reported above its January level by March.

📈
Your best marginNo products yet
—

Your best margin

💄Beauty👗Womenswear📱Phones & Electronics⚽Sports & Outdoor

Data window: Q1 2026 category GMV snapshot. Margin note: demand, GMV and unit growth do not prove seller profitability; your fourth card uses your own economics.

Independent planning tool. Not affiliated with or endorsed by TikTok. Market fees, product-category rates, taxes, incentive missions and settlement rules can change. Where a market uses category-based commission rates, the calculator clearly asks you to confirm or override the category rate. Seller Center remains authoritative.

Philippines · How to read it

TikTok Shop profit tools · Philippines

Only 5 inputs are required per product. Common analytics terms are shown in brackets, and every advanced assumption stays hidden by default.

  1. 1
    Selling price

    Price paid before discounts · PHP

  2. 2
    Product cost (COGS)

    Your real product cost

  3. 3
    TikTok fees

    Marketplace commission varies by category. Enter the exact rate; the model adds a 2.24% transaction fee, PHP 5 processing fee and 5.5% Marketplace shipping-service fee capped at PHP 100.

  4. 4
    Creator commission (affiliate %)

    Paid to creator on attributed sales · Average paid ads cost to get 1 order

  5. 5
    Break-even price

    Max creator commission % · Max CPA at target margin

How to read it

What TikTok Shop fee does the Philippines calculator use?

Marketplace commission varies by category. Enter the exact rate; the model adds a 2.24% transaction fee, PHP 5 processing fee and 5.5% Marketplace shipping-service fee capped at PHP 100. The calculator starts with a category-specific rate where a reliable default exists, and lets the seller enter or override the exact category rate when needed.

Does the Philippines profit calculator include creator commission and ads?

Yes. Each product can include creator commission, advertising cost per sale, COGS, fulfilment, returns and other per-order costs in PHP.

What is the break-even price?

Break-even price is the estimated selling price at which revenue covers the modelled platform, creator, advertising, product, fulfilment and return costs with no remaining profit.

Should I use the calculator instead of Seller Center?

No. marqflow is an independent planning tool. Seller Center remains authoritative for current account, category, tax, incentive and settlement rules.

Visual forecast

PDF for sharing · Excel for deeper analysis.

Pricing